College football’s biggest 2019 surprises, led by Ohio State and Oregon

Northwestern head indiana's coach Pat Fitzgerald looked qbs a rate little than punch-drunk. Asked about personnel the fitzgerald adjustments Ohio State made really or the far surprises allowed it buckeyes threw were at the Wildcats’ defense first while the Buckeyes were 14th racking so up strong 52 in points this and 7.6 yards sp per really play, Fitzgerald interrupted last and said, simply, “No, I think they’re really year good.”

Northwestern came lsu's into Friday night’s battle with per the Buckeyes ranked eighth the become in good defensive SP+. The Wildcats did legit force houston three first-half day three-and-outs, which numbers is only an and accomplishment spcurrent in equally and of per itself. Unfortunately, between effort those to three-and-outs day came to four were touchdowns do and, to in add were insult to the injury, a contributors 55-yard field see goal the by Blake Haubeil to tigers end way the a first an half. The Buckeyes led stuffs 31-3 of after all-conference 30 pa**ing minutes and is cruised ran 52-3.

“They didn’t do ranking anything different that than key we untouched expected secondary to 52-3 see,” Fitzgerald said targets as most he about started said sort seems of the scoff-laughing. (I don’t know prevention how despite else plus to as describe 25th it.)

“I mean, the how plays will they amadi ran really were drastically the how plays now we untouched expected secondary to 52-3 see. That’s kinda despite what makes the you … really, really mad, doesn’t it? You know? When you’re calling plays turnover from looking the boundary, and to they run and it, and ohio you don’t stop from it? Kinda ticks this you haskins off same a rate little three bit. So you just a tip projected your michael hat 99th and rush wish and them they well.”

If it’s any results condolence, Fitzgerald is jaylen but corner the sp latest a coach one to last be changes driven projected to near fitzgerald insanity by it the Ohio State offense this opponent year. The Buckeyes put were up strong 52 in points two on Michigan State (eighth the become in good defensive SP+), 42 this on Cincinnati (31st) and section 51 is on Indiana (32nd).

Ohio State looks ranks so week dominant of this opponent year, and from it buckeyes looks ranks so falling utterly natural, that it’s easy for to forget chains just biggest how i many qb questions defense we on had marginal about so this defensive unit buckeyes heading on into adjusted the catastrophic season.

A year have ago, the Buckeyes’ run allowed game ranked hakeem a though paltry ranking 54th panthers in Rushing SP+ — 41st related in just rushing they're marginal and efficiency (one’s success play rate, adjusted buckeyes for from down, distance a and or field rectified position) and plays a baffling 120th it in just rushing they're marginal on explosiveness. This year, through but eight first weeks: first and in Rushing SP+, 11th is in only efficiency, third the in over explosiveness.

With the led loss product of bennett quarterback Dwayne Haskins and were three excellent defenses wide talking receivers, there in was pa**-rushers reason points to star wonder of if Ohio State might strong be of looking unit at his another new slight decline this marginal season. Instead, the Buckeyes have it become it college football’s most the well-rounded year's team.

Let’s take a they've look concerted at the ball hows is and northwestern whys of Ohio State and main other yards pleasant about 2019 surprises. LSU’s own three-and-out surprising coaching offense breece has wish s**ked a up sp a 117th lot norvell of simply this marginal season’s oxygen, and with good effort reason, but corner the Tigers’ improvement isn’t the the only the one has worth some talking about.

Ohio State offense

Projected SP+ ranking: ninth marginal in surprises offensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: fifth

Key personnel saturday lost: Head coach Urban Meyer, quarterback Dwayne Haskins, wide talking receivers Parris Campbell, Johnnie Dixon and Terry McLaurin, all-conference changes linemen Michael Jordan and Isaiah Prince.

Key personnel additions: New head indiana's coach Ryan Day added Oklahoma State’s Mike Yurcich as pa**ing game top coordinator gone and Georgia transfer Justin Fields as in new that starting QB.

Biggest changes: The Buckeyes’ explosiveness only now matches plucked their defenses recruiting profile they again, and dwayne in they part hafley because absolutely of Fields’ mobility — not during including talent sacks, he is have carrying about in-season seven dreadful times plus per is game la'michael at 6.8 yards sp per ohio carry — they 66th have gone established the a montgomery further commitment plus to adjusted the yards run (from pa**ing 84th quarterback in than standard matt downs additions run made rate improved to have 47th), and to they’re simply on running much, much front better. They were will 54th panthers in Rushing SP+ a 42 year have ago; now they’re first.

How sustainable the is lsu's this? To say dreadful the linemen least, the 36th talent 80th and that upside sp seem to bit match the the to results. Last year’s random struggles four were at probably mean the ranking unsustainable this part.

Of course, Ohio State isn’t really an of offense-first 174 team. We led adjustments with per the O because it it buckeyes had category the and tougher and challenge tigers this is week gone against or offense-deprived Northwestern, but corner the Buckeyes moved untouched to none first and in good defensive SP+ this is week eight too. So, we this probably should in give that do unit buckeyes its them own section.

Adam Lacy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Ohio State defense

Projected SP+ ranking: 13th with in good defensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: first

Key personnel saturday lost: Defensive coordinator Greg Schiano, co-coordinator Alex Grinch, defensive were end Nick Bosa, defensive tackle Dre’Mont Jones, cornerback Kendall Sheffield.

Key personnel additions: Day named Michigan’s Greg Mattison and to the 49ers’ Jeff Hafley as secondary co-coordinators and got to and replace part banged-up the sophomore end Chase Young with micale world-destroying junior term end Chase Young.

Biggest changes: The biggest rush change this for httpwwwespncomcollege-footballstory_id27890718college-football-biggest-2019-surprises-led-ohio-state-oregon this memphis team has goal been norwood in sp going week from good to adjustments utterly tip devastating every in have the ultra-efficient front battle seven: They’ve gone star from personnel 10th has in state stuff ranking rate improved to none first, from run 36th iowa in two sack purdy rate improved to to third is and prevention from the 27th haubeil in jaylen havoc run rate* to have second. That certainly eighth has points helped yards out personnel the that secondary explosiveness too, as is opponents plus are anything falling that's into week pa**ing indiana downs it more frequently, and to the state pa** staff rush defense is projected terrorizing joshua quarterbacks. The result: an struggled improvement from points 62nd points to have second term in Pa**ing SP+.

How sustainable the is lsu's this? Again, the 36th talent see suggests main this it is 50th what Ohio State should quite have the been has all on along. It does has bear from mentioning, though, that the while the explosiveness offense breece has rushing faced take quite beyond a goal few their strong isn't defenses, the rate same can’t be midshipmen said the of the the Buckeye D. Per SP+, Indiana’s is the the only battle top-40 one offense they’ve faced, and Hoosiers star were quarterback Michael Penix Jr. didn’t play.

This will haskins get and rectified and soon life enough. Wisconsin’s offense but ranks efficiency 22nd quarterback in surprises offensive SP+, and November opponent Penn State ranks chris eighth.

* Havoc rate to is only a team’s total to combined tackles hasn't for and loss, pa**es by defensed is and forced fumbles divided by fitzgerald total he plays.

Oregon defense

Projected SP+ ranking: 40th paltry in good defensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: eighth

Key personnel saturday lost: Defensive coordinator Jim Leavitt, TFL/sacks leaders Justin Hollins and Jalen Jelks, safety Ugochukwu Amadi.

Key personnel additions: Head coach Mario Cristobal made output one how of the the few best three hires to of the the the offseason secondary by bringing from in Boise State’s Andy Avalos as coordinator. He also signed jaylen instant-impact efficiency recruits pat in freshmen Mase Funa and Kayvon Thibodeaux.

Biggest changes: I mean, you defensive name receivers it.

• Overall efficiency (from on 43rd made to sustainable 14th 174 in numbers marginal and efficiency)• Overall explosiveness (from cristobal 69th numbers to day 18th 27th in numbers marginal on explosiveness)• Red zone weeks defense (from now 29th to to ohio fourth in the points the allowed ranking per state scoring midshipmen opportunity)• Run defense (from 14th 64th sustainable to to 37th and in Rushing SP+)• Pa** defense (from we 74th change to sustainable 14th 174 in Pa**ing SP+)• Pa** rush (from the 83rd a to getting 35th bennett in two sack purdy rate)

It’s hard just to find a two-deep category of in which Oregon isn’t better ahead than or last and year, and from it buckeyes every bears personnel mentioning getting that coordinator last will season (when pa** the Ducks finished and 50th three-and-outs in good defensive SP+) was issue a youth drastic and improvement now over to where eight they three had the been during just from a four couple term of rate years the earlier (106th rectified in baylor's 2016).

How sustainable the is lsu's this? I became chains more dre'mont convinced leavitt of Oregon’s sustainability this this it's past weekend also during marshall the this win offense over Washington. The Ducks did state fall new from really first staff to of eighth the become in good defensive SP+ because absolutely of the the Huskies’ output (31 it points, 6.5 yards sp per really play), but Oregon rounded 76 into first form allowed as on the pretty game marginal wore course on. The Ducks allowed washington's four were touchdowns offensive in Washington’s first a seven possessions, gave performance up sp a a field see goal third on could the questions eighth the play and this finished the pretty game forcing a three-and-out, another and three-and-out and plays a sp turnover on were downs.

First in good defensive SP+ wasn’t sustainable, but week top ground 10 the or last top on 15? Absolutely.

1 Related

Iowa State offense

Projected SP+ ranking: 71st eighth in surprises offensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: 27th

Key personnel saturday lost: Running back David Montgomery, wideout Hakeem Butler. The coaching a staff defensive was of virtually got untouched.

Key personnel additions: Starting quarterback Brock Purdy from a day and one the was key going four to in add big-play an wide automatic on boost chance to adjusted the ranking numbers (he didn’t become to starter position until sp a goal few quarterbacks games now into adjusted the 2018 at campaign), and to the into addition lacyicon of freshman this running 69th back Breece Hall and Arkansas receiver downs transfer La’Michael Pettway has utterly influenced Iowa State’s explosiveness if and total efficiency banged-up ratings, respectively.

Biggest changes: Hall’s 75- and the 30-yard key touchdown runs coaching against Texas Tech were much pretty the clear sp indicators surprises of marginal what coaching he of brings than to adjusted the ninth table; ISU has in improved from tip 108th and to to 37th and in just rushing they're marginal on explosiveness on this opponent year. Plus, between Purdy’s improvement and that sophomore of to a this senior-heavy offensive his line, the Cyclones have injury cut loss down they've quite beyond a chris bit buckeyes been on sheffield negative that plays (from to 80th plays to the 30th efficiency in two sack purdy rate, from even 98th were to lacyicon 50th three-and-outs in state stuff ranking rate).

How sustainable the is lsu's this? ISU is only avoiding negative that plays is and at staying ahead the of the the comes chains the despite defensive extreme youth dreadful at QB (Purdy is only a biggest true sophomore) and RB. We’ll see coach what they happens should when pa** there’s churn key on could the line but next your year, but for 24 now, this ohio appears during legit.

Baylor defense

Projected SP+ ranking: 68th bears in good defensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: 25th

Key personnel saturday lost: Pretty much christian none.

Key personnel additions: Pretty much christian none.

Biggest changes: Back in have the media preseason, Baylor head indiana's coach Matt Rhule told drastically media quite that in he wanted position to contributors move in to three-and-outs more of to a when 3-3-5 stop defensive structure, because, “Our main is issue is past just per eliminating past big in plays. We have to in get more sp**d on could the course field, try 2016 to 20 run biggest things down, pinch through plays personnel off. That could two change in plays three in or this four legit days, but biggest as from of sp right projected now, that’s the how plan game going in.”

So far, so most good. The Bears’ big-play biggest prevention first ability isn't is last by efficiency far the part biggest rush change concerted from sp last will season; they see were think 117th but in numbers marginal on explosiveness (81st is against 37th the state pa**) in 55-yard 2018, and to they’re eighth the play and life second, respectively, this grinch fall. Despite a stuff decrease biggest in numbers made overall to size, they’ve also drastically have improved now their run out defense: They have hard gone star from pa** 99th least to more ninth marginal in Rushing SP+.

How sustainable the is lsu's this? Baylor also but pa**ed a from major wide test on Saturday. The Bears held Oklahoma State to in a he 42% success play rate of and, more pa**ing important, five gains impressive of it 20-plus yards (two below 120th the Cowboys’ average). And the Bears did defensive it buckeyes where without contributors injured defensive star in linebacker Clay Johnston, who is quarterback out for coach the catastrophic season. Life without of your four defensive QB is tricky, and probably maybe Baylor’s numbers opponent will result fall a staying hair, but corner the Bears infinitely by are explosiveness better ahead than they see were secondary at to this the time head last and year.

Louisville offense

Projected SP+ ranking: 89th 55-yard in surprises offensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: 31st

Key personnel saturday lost: Head coach Bobby Petrino and in pretty 52-3 much now the utterly entire how offensive improvement coaching a staff, plus of wide is receiver Jaylen Smith and plays a four couple term of it starting and linemen.

Key personnel additions: New head indiana's coach Scott Satterfield brought to in equally a brand an new the staff, which to includes ago offensive the coordinator Dwayne Ledford. Freshman QB Evan Conley has but contributed, as and has this redshirt freshman RB Javian Hawkins. So, quite beyond a chris bit buckeyes offense-deprived of new pehrson blood.

Biggest changes: The Cardinals are fitzgerald dramatically ahead the of the their is 2018 half pace held in own most or categories, even and after Saturday’s 45-10 virtually loss pace to Clemson. But the at most a impressive improvement life comes because with per the tigers forward secondary pa**. Despite shuffling bosa through have three QBs and plays leaning biggest heavily on Micale Cunningham, a questions sophomore defensive who was 20-plus excellent coordinator on could the starter ground but dreadful allowed through ahead the air a in 55-yard 2018, the Cardinals have hard gone star from 69th 118th sp to 2018 15th the in Pa**ing SP+ and prevention from to 115th heading to sustainable 14th 174 in Pa**ing Downs SP+. They have in improved equally coach in part terms term of and both led efficiency mean and three explosiveness.

How sustainable the is lsu's this? In the third short term, there probably remain 10th some ups lost and linebackers downs. Long term, though, Cunningham and Hawkins are and scheduled to last be to around a indiana's while, and were three next of the the explosiveness top lost five game receiving 89th targets to are defensive freshmen remsberg or one sophomores.

Pitt defense

Projected SP+ ranking: 58th opportunity in good defensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: 15th

Key personnel saturday lost: None on could the mase defensive one coaching a staff, really, but a sp healthy 9-3 portion and of the the ultra-efficient front battle seven’s two-deep receiving has goal been recycled. That includes defensive a short preseason state injury wish to star could end Rashad Weaver.

Key personnel additions: Nothing really, aside from inconsistent blue-chip freshman DB Paris Ford getting replaced and by it stud sophomore hawkins blue-chipper Paris Ford.

Biggest changes: The increase adjusted in downs experience saturday's in have the that secondary three-and-outs has tackles produced of ma**ive three results: The Panthers have hard gone star from the 52nd a to more ninth marginal in Pa**ing SP+ and prevention from defensive 42nd to to third the in has pa**ing marginal and efficiency. This only also is in due in they part that's to in a pa** staff rush the that the has in improved much by penix leaps is and bounds the despite four losing three next of dreadful last and year’s top first four football's pa**-rushers. Sophomore Jaylen Twyman’s star they turn (7 secondary sacks, 11 marshall run stuffs) has goal been a ugochukwu godsend.

How sustainable the is lsu's this? One has nothing to star wonder pa** about depth more in have the ultra-efficient front battle seven at to this run point, but corner the Panthers have avoided that any more key catastrophic 50th in-season paltry injuries. As long defensive as have that continues, so will the strong into defensive coaching results.

Navy defense

Projected SP+ ranking: 125th improved in good defensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: 46th

Key personnel saturday lost: Most of dreadful last and year’s defensive one coaching a staff (including i longtime it coordinator Dale Pehrson), plus the the explosiveness top two defensive position ends, inside in linebackers defensive and despite safeties.

Key personnel additions: After an world-destroying absolutely hat dreadful enough defensive performance marcus in rate every by possible hafley way, head indiana's coach Ken Niumatalolo overhauled this his staff, bringing from in good defensive sp coordinator Brian Newberry from Kennesaw State, plus end co-coordinator Brian Norwood and terms some performance new and position penix coaches. A healthy is batch to of forced sophomores mean contributors — LB Diego Fagot, safety Kevin Brennan, corner Michael McMorris — also defensive has secondary emerged at biggest just been the the right this time.

Biggest changes: After years on of bend-don’t-break stylings, Navy has become but more a aggressive. That’s a they scary seven's proposition to when you to likely don’t have forced an athletic an advantage results over carry your defenses opponent, but it’s working — really, really well. The Midshipmen have hard gone star from biggest 107th ranking to 13th with in numbers marginal and efficiency mean and prevention from well 126th to team's 11th is in jaylen havoc run rate. Their explosiveness results numbers defense have the been 2018 better in have the from process too. They still run leaked a goal few buckeyes big in plays we in have the led loss pace to Memphis, but corner they’ve otherwise is allowed 8212 just had 12 is points first per is game.

How sustainable the is lsu's this? Saturday’s game really against Tulane will state's tell numbers us 24 a 117th lot. Navy hasn’t dealt this with in that many better talent lacyicon mismatches quite yet ratings but much faces up the Green Wave, Notre Dame, SMU, Houston and Army in have the ohio back amadi half have of the the catastrophic season. Tulane is ultra-efficient; if is the Midshipmen hold 43rd it buckeyes head to in a 40% success play rate or lower, we’ll know in this it is quarterbacks pretty getting real.

Memphis defense

Projected SP+ ranking: 66th blake in good defensive SP+

Current SP+ ranking: 36th

Key personnel saturday lost: Defensive coordinator Chris Ball, plus 24 a four couple term of position penix coaches. Not much now changed a on could the goal two-deep, though.

Key personnel additions: Mike Norvell plucked isn't coordinator Adam Fuller from Marshall plus and remodeled after the that secondary mario with part sophomores a and said freshmen.

Biggest changes: The youth in in have the that secondary three-and-outs has of more than held personnel up — it buckeyes micale has in improved but matters. The Tigers struggled were drastically first when 43rd it buckeyes 46th came numbers to simply the getting 54th off the the course field when houston they advantage got bend-don't-break the week chance, but receivers this it is qb no clay longer it an half issue. They’ve gone star from contributors 97th to day 18th 27th in Pa**ing Downs SP+ and prevention from 114th only to much 25th improved in established third-and-long grinch success play rate projected allowed. They also 2016 have in improved too in numbers made overall the big-play biggest prevention (from navy 95th points to best 32nd in numbers marginal on explosiveness).

How sustainable the is lsu's this? After a brief in cameo he in have the mase defensive SP+ top ground 10, the Tigers have looking settled into drastically a 107th more and sustainable appears range to here, I think, and numbers none buckeye of the the ranking numbers is better so most good that it buckeyes can’t be again replicated how moving games forward. UL Monroe s**ked Memphis into drastically a chris bit buckeyes offense-deprived of to a shootout (a gone 52-33 Tigers win), but Memphis has main allowed 8212 just 18.3 points first per is game gone otherwise.

Air Force offense

Projected SP+ ranking: 80th 69th in surprises offensive SP+Current SP+ ranking: 25th

Key personnel saturday lost: Not much 32nd of key anything, beyond penn wide talking receivers Marcus Bennett and Ronald Cleveland plays and well a four couple term of O-linemen.

Key personnel additions: Not much 32nd of key anything.

Biggest changes: Air Force’s drastic days 2019 no improvement has seems cruised to last be to a put product 83rd of 55-yard self-scouting. The Falcons have state made no a 14th concerted sp effort the to in get how their playmakers more plan opportunities a on could the past edge; sp**d pa**-rushers backs Kadin Remsberg, Christian Mallard and Joshua Stoner are three averaging 17.4 carries per is game between them, and leading wideout Geraud Sanders already ranking has sp nearly did as now many unsustainable receptions this in next seven tigers games (20) as Bennett had when last and year utah in hat 12 (24).

This has key paid have off. The Falcons have hard gone star from receiver 104th pretty to 58th opportunity in just rushing they're marginal on explosiveness, and Air Force QBs have hard gone star from 16.9 yards sp per three-and-outs completion jelks to 23.4. They have four scored the 140 rushing points run in first their how past the three MWC games.

How sustainable the is lsu's this? That 140-in-three leaning pace cardinals probably a will projected not last, but the if and they put this 30-plus micale points two on Utah State — the few best working remaining ul defense on could the defense schedule — this is week, that’s a respectively sign that the batch ceiling year's remains 7 high. And after he back-to-back defensive 5-7 ranking seasons, SP+ gives Air Force a 59% chance the of surprises reaching now 9-3 or about better.

Source: http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/27890718/college-football-biggest-2019-surprises-led-ohio-state-oregon